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Dutch Bros Q4 2024 Earnings: Growth Momentum Accelerates

  • Writer: Hardik Shah
    Hardik Shah
  • Feb 13
  • 3 min read

Updated: Feb 16

Concept by Alphasumer, Illustration ChatGPT
Concept by Alphasumer, Illustration ChatGPT

TLDR


  • Explosive Growth: 35% year-over-year revenue growth, with system same-shop sales up 6.9%.

  • Operational Wins: Dutch Rewards, mobile ordering, and paid advertising driving transaction growth.

  • Future Expansion: 160+ new shops planned for 2025, with strong momentum in newer markets.


Financial Results


Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE: BROS) is a fast-growing quick-service beverage brand specializing in drive-thru coffee, energy drinks, and customizable beverages. The company has built a loyal following through its Dutch Rewards program and vibrant customer engagement strategy. As of the end of 2024, Dutch Bros operates 982 locations across 18 states, with a strong focus on company-operated stores rather than franchising.


Q4 2024 Performance Highlights:
  • Revenue: $342.8M (+35% YoY)

  • Same-Shop Sales Growth: 6.9% (system-wide), 9.5% (company-operated)

  • Transaction Growth: 2.3% (largest year-over-year increase in two years)

  • Net Income: $6.4M (compared to a $3.8M loss in Q4 2023)

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $48.8M (+41% YoY)

  • Earnings Per Share: $0.07 (vs. $0.04 in Q4 2023)


Full-Year 2024 Results:
  • Revenue: $1.28B (+32.6% YoY)

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $230.3M (+43.9% YoY)

  • Net Income: $66.5M (vs. $10.0M in 2023)

  • Same-Shop Sales Growth: 5.3%

"We believe our brand is resonating with customers, as we delivered 2.3% system same-shop transaction growth, the largest year-over-year increase in over two years." – Christine Barone, CEO.

Key Drivers of Growth:

  1. Mobile Ordering Adoption:

    • 96% of Dutch Bros locations now support mobile ordering.

    • 8% of total sales came through mobile orders, with higher penetration in new markets.

    • Boosted morning sales, particularly for coffee-based drinks.

  2. Dutch Rewards Loyalty Program:

    • 71% of transactions came from rewards members (up 500 bps YoY).

    • Increased segmentation efforts to drive personalized offers.

  3. Strategic Paid Advertising:

    • Increased digital ad spend improved brand awareness, particularly in newer markets.

  4. Menu Innovation & Seasonal Offerings:

    • Holiday promotions like Candy Cane Mocha and Hazelnut Truffle Mocha saw record sales.

    • Product giveaways (e.g., Passenger Princess Straw Topper) drove customer engagement.


"We continue to see exceptional traction in the Dutch Rewards program with a record 71% of transactions coming from Dutch Rewards members." – Christine Barone, CEO.

Strategic Initiatives


The U.S. quick-service beverage industry remains competitive, with growing consumer demand for iced beverages and customizable energy drinks. Dutch Bros is capitalizing on these trends by positioning itself as a differentiated brand that blends speed, quality, and community engagement. Despite macroeconomic headwinds such as inflation and elevated coffee prices, the company continues to gain market share through aggressive expansion and digital engagement.


Expansion & Store Openings:
  • 151 new locations opened in 2024 (128 company-operated).

  • Plans to open at least 160 new locations in 2025, focusing on capital-efficient leasing arrangements.


Technology & Process Optimization:
  • Hired a Chief Technology & Information Officer to drive digital and operational efficiency.

  • Continued focus on improving drive-thru speed and throughput with better deployment of workforce and mobile ordering.


Food Program Expansion (Testing Phase):
  • Currently testing limited food offerings aimed at capturing morning beverage transactions.

  • Initial results are encouraging, but the company remains cautious about adding complexity.


"We believe we have an opportunity to expand market share in the morning daypart. Food makes up less than 2% of our total sales, and we are likely missing morning beverage transactions from would-be customers." – Christine Barone, CEO.

Forward Guidance


Dutch Bros provided bullish guidance for 2025, expecting continued double-digit growth:

  • Revenue: $1.555B – $1.575B (+21%-23% YoY)

  • Same-Shop Sales Growth: 2%-4%

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $265M – $275M (+15%-20% YoY)

  • Capital Expenditures: $240M – $260M


Challenges for 2025 include elevated coffee prices (expected to impact margins by ~110 bps), but Dutch Bros plans to offset this with operational efficiencies and strategic pricing adjustments.


The Bottom Line


Dutch Bros is firing on all cylinders, delivering record revenue growth, strong customer engagement, and successful expansion. The company’s strategic focus on mobile ordering, loyalty rewards, and real estate optimization is paying off, positioning it as a formidable player in the fast-growing beverage market.


For investors, Dutch Bros’ rapid growth trajectory, improving profitability, and long-term expansion plans make it a compelling story to watch. However, cost pressures from coffee inflation and wage investments could be key areas to monitor in 2025.

With a clear roadmap for growth, Dutch Bros is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory in the quick-service coffee industry. 🚀


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