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Starbucks Q1'25 Earnings: A Kitchen Sink Quarter?

  • Writer: Hardik Shah
    Hardik Shah
  • Jan 28
  • 3 min read

Updated: Feb 16


Concept by Alphasumer, illustration by ChatGPT
Concept by Alphasumer, illustration by ChatGPT


TLDR


  1. Strategic Shift to "Back to Starbucks": Starbucks is refocusing on its core coffeehouse experience, simplifying its menu, reducing promotional discounts, and investing in store operations to improve efficiency and customer experience.

  2. Operational & Financial Performance Needs Improvement: Revenue remained flat at $9.4 billion, with a 4% decline in comparable store sales. The operating margin was 11.9% (down 380 bps YoY) due to investments in labor, technology, and operational improvements.

  3. Focus on Efficiency & Expansion: The company is testing new store efficiency models, revising mobile order sequencing, and plans to cut menu items by 30%. Store count is expected to double over time, particularly in high-growth U.S. regions.


Quarter Overview


Starbucks is in the early stages of a turnaround strategy aimed at restoring growth and brand strength. The "Back to Starbucks" strategy focuses on:


  • Reintroducing Starbucks to the world through marketing.

  • Enhancing customer experience by simplifying operations.

  • Restoring the coffeehouse atmosphere by reintroducing in-store elements.

  • Strengthening employee engagement to improve service and retention.


Revenue remained flat at $9.4B, with comparable store sales down 4%, while operating margin dropped 380 bps due to increased labor costs, store experience improvements, and the removal of non-dairy milk surcharges. EPS fell 22% YoY, and management suspended full-year guidance, signaling near-term financial uncertainty.


Financial Performance


Starbucks Q1'25 Earnings resembled a "kitchen sink" quarter, with the company front-loading operational resets, cost pressures, and strategic investments to position itself for long-term growth. The "Back to Starbucks" turnaround strategy drove heavy investments in staffing, store efficiency, and marketing while also cutting menu complexity by 30% and restructuring corporate roles. Despite these challenges, management expects sequential improvement in the back half of FY2025, making this quarter a deliberate reset to stabilize future performance.


  • Revenue: $9.4 billion (flat YoY), impacted by a 4% global comparable sales decline.

  • North America Sales: U.S. comparable sales down 4%, improving through the quarter.

  • Operating Margin: 11.9%, contracting 380 bps due to investments in labor and store efficiency.

  • EPS: $0.69 (down 22% YoY).

  • Store Growth: 377 net new stores globally.

  • Rewards Program: Increased engagement and spending, with growth in non-rewards customer traffic.


Operational Wins & Challenges


Wins

Customer Re-engagement:

  • Shift away from discount-driven promotions has increased brand loyalty.

  • Starbucks Rewards and non-rewards customer visits are improving.

Labor Investments Paying Off:

  • Increased staffing coverage in 3,000 stores for better customer service.

  • Paid parental leave doubled and commitments made to promote 90% of retail leaders internally.

Growth in Key Product Categories:

  • Sales mix shifted towards coffee & espresso beverages, compensating for weak holiday promotions.


Challenges

Mobile Order Bottlenecks:

  • Mobile orders currently lack sequencing, causing congestion and long wait times.

  • Starbucks is testing order prioritization algorithms and time-slot scheduling.

Margin Pressure & Cost Increases:

  • Labor and operational investments weighed down margins.

  • Coffee price volatility could impact channel development revenue.

Declining Holiday Performance:

  • Seasonal promotions underperformed, highlighting a need for better execution in limited-time offers.


Strategic Focus


1. Menu & Pricing Optimization
  • Starbucks is reducing menu complexity by 30% to improve efficiency.

  • The company removed extra charges for non-dairy milk, increasing non-dairy beverage customization.

  • Pricing structure is being simplified for transparency and to enhance customer trust.

2. Operational Enhancements & Technology Investments
  • Targeting a four-minute order fulfillment time.

  • Piloting a new mobile order sequencing algorithm to improve service flow.

  • Expanding digital menu boards across U.S. stores over the next 18 months.

  • Testing a time-slot model for mobile orders to reduce congestion and improve the in-store experience.

3. Store Network Expansion & Revitalization
  • Plans to double U.S. store count, leveraging smaller-format stores.

  • Evaluating renovations, closures, and new openings based on performance.

  • Expanding seating options and introducing risers and shelves to improve handoff experiences.


Leadership Restructure to Boost Execution

As part of its "Back to Starbucks" strategy, Starbucks is restructuring retail leadership for greater accountability.

Mike Grams, former Taco Bell COO, joins as Chief Stores Officer, overseeing store operations, customer experience, and retail performance.

Meredith Sandland, previously with Empower Delivery and Taco Bell, takes on the role of Chief Store Development Officer, leading store design, expansion, and the global design strategy.

A new Chief Supply Chain Officer will be announced soon, succeeding Arthur Valdez to drive supply chain transformation and efficiency. These changes aim to streamline operations and strengthen Starbucks' retail experience.


The Bottom Line

Starbucks’ “Back to Starbucks” turnaround strategy is in its early stages but showing encouraging signs of improvement. The company is focusing on menu simplification, labor investments, mobile order optimization, and customer engagement to drive long-term growth. While near-term financials are under pressure, Starbucks is betting on operational efficiencies, store expansion, and premium brand positioning to restore performance.


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